29 September 2008

Buffett's "time bomb" exploding?

Here are excerpts from Warren Buffett's comments as reported by the BBC in 2003.

Note this is before the housing boom and bust and collateralized mortgage obligations; he's referring to the other derivative instruments already in place 5 years ago...
The rapidly growing trade in derivatives poses a "mega-catastrophic risk" for the economy...

The derivatives market has exploded in recent years, with investment banks selling billions of dollars worth of these investments to clients as a way to off-load or manage market risk.

But Mr Buffett argues that such highly complex financial instruments are time bombs and "financial weapons of mass destruction" that could harm not only their buyers and sellers, but the whole economic system...

Derivates like futures, options and swaps were developed to allow investors hedge risks in financial markets - in effect buy insurance against market movements -, but have quickly become a means of investment in their own right..

Some derivatives contracts, Mr Buffett says, appear to have been devised by "madmen".

He warns that derivatives can push companies onto a "spiral that can lead to a corporate meltdown"...
In his letter Mr Buffett compares the derivatives business to "hell... easy to enter and almost impossible to exit", and predicts that it will take years to unwind the complex deals ...

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